Bloomberg.com: Canada
Canada’s Dollar Gains on Chance U.S. Won’t Slip Into Recession
By Haris Anwar
Feb. 1 (Bloomberg) — Canada’s dollar rose the most in more than a week as investors bought currencies linked to commodity exports on optimism that the world’s largest economy will not slip into a recession.
The Canadian dollar strengthened versus 14 of the 16 most- active currencies after a U.S. report showed manufacturing unexpectedly grew in January. Canada sends about 80 percent of its exports to the U.S.
“The market is now focusing on this report,” said Maria Jones, a currency strategist at TD Securities in Toronto. “There is a hope that the U.S. will potentially see a slowdown, not an outright recession.”
The currency, known as the loonie after the image of the bird on its one-dollar coin, rose 0.9 percent to 99.39 Canadian cents per U.S. dollar at 4:03 p.m. in Toronto, from C$1.0028 yesterday. One Canadian dollar buys $1.0061.
Canada’s dollar rose versus its U.S. counterpart for a second straight week, rising 1.4 percent since Jan. 25.
The Institute for Supply Management’s U.S. manufacturing index rose to 50.7 last month, a five-month high, from a revised 48.4 in December, the Tempe, Arizona-based group said. Readings lower than 50 signal contraction.
A separate report from Canada showed factory prices advanced at the fastest pace in nine months during December.
The country’s industrial product price index climbed 1.1 percent, up from a 0.6 percent gain in November, Statistics Canada said today in Ottawa. Prices were forecast to rise 0.7 percent, according to the median estimate of 16 economists in a Bloomberg survey.
`Global Growth’
“There is a less pessimistic outlook for global growth, and that’s helping equities and cyclical currencies such as the Canadian dollar,” said Matthew Strauss, a senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto, who predicts the currency will trade close to par in the first half of the year.
Canada’s Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index of stocks rose 1 percent today. The benchmark gained 3 percent since Jan. 25 and increased for a second straight week.
Date: Feb 1st, 2008 ·
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Tags: Commodity News